Global stock

LSEGBP

BAE Systems plc

BA.L

AI analysis and articles are in Czech.

§ Financial healthLong-term stability

56/ 100

Overall score·BA.L

Current price

19.32GBP

23/10/2026

P/E, P/B

Valuation

Neutral

Rates whether the stock is cheap or expensive relative to its history and sector. A score above 60 suggests the stock trades below its estimated intrinsic value.

Tracks:P/E · P/B · FCF yield · sector

Forward P/E kolem 20 a EV/EBITDA 16,8 ukazují na prémiové ocenění, zatímco P/E 27,6 a PEG 2,75 jsou vůči běžným průmyslovým násobkům zvýšené; mimořádně vysoké P/B je nutné interpretovat obezřetně. Růst tržeb je solidní, ale ziskovost je střední a cena zůstává pod oběma klouzavými průměry, což oslabuje momentum.

§ Outlook vs S&P 500Next 12 months

About the same

Estimated chance of beating the index: about 50%

8 of 8 inputs

NoProbably notSameProbably yesYes

A model estimate from current values. The result may change with new data; it is not a price target or an investment recommendation.

§ Metrics summary

A quick look at BAE Systems plc (BA.L) combining financial health, the short-term signal, valuation, DCF, management quality and operating metrics. It is analytical context, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

56/100

The overall score is based mainly on long-term fundamentals, complemented by the current signal and the available qualitative rating of the company.

60/100

Slightly positive signal based on current news, price action and the economy.

43/100

A lower score means the stock is expensive relative to the company's earnings and assets.

33% above fair value

An estimate of what the stock should be worth based on the company's future cash.

+8%

How fast the company's revenue grows year on year.

57/100

How much the company earns from each unit of revenue and from invested capital.

55/100

Debt level, share-price volatility and how resilient the company is in bad times.

72/100

AI estimate of management quality, execution and capital allocation.

82/100

AI estimate of the company's durable competitive advantage.

§ Financial results

Financial results·BA.L

mld. GBp

RevenueEBITDANet incomeEBITDA margin

Margins and profitability·BA.L

Net marginEBITDA marginDashed = estimate

Net margin

+6.7 %

FY 2025 · reported

EBITDA margin

+13.8 %

FY 2026 · estimate

Net margin

+7.2 %

last 12 months

Operating margin

+9.7 %

last 12 months

ROE

+18.6 %

last 12 months

FY = fiscal year · TTM = trailing 12 months

§ Context and events

Management

Skupinu vede Group CEO a Executive Director Charles Nicholas Woodburn. CFO a Executive Director je Bradley Madsen Greve; ve vedení jsou také Executive Director Thomas Arnold Arseneault a Chief Technology & Information Officer Julian Cracknell. Strategie společnosti stojí na dodávkách obranných systémů, letecké techniky, lodí a elektroniky a na plnění dlouhodobých vládních zakázek.

Articles about BAE Systems plc, in Czech (0)

No articles yet. New analyses are published daily.

§ Frequently asked questions

What is BAE Systems plc (BA.L)?

BAE Systems plc (BA.L) is a global stock traded on LSE. We track it daily — scoring news sentiment, the short-term outlook and long-term stability on a 0–100 scale.

What is the BAE Systems plc price today?

As of 23 October 2026, BAE Systems plc trades at about 19.32 GBP per unit. We update the price daily from public market data. Intraday moves can differ significantly — always check the final price with your broker.

How to buy BAE Systems plc?

Through regulated online brokers such as Degiro, XTB, Trading 212 or Interactive Brokers. Shares trade in USD or EUR — most brokers convert your currency automatically. FinSignal does not operate any of these platforms and charges no commission — the overview is only a signpost.

Does BAE Systems plc pay a dividend?

BAE Systems plc either pays no dividend at the moment or we have no reliable data on it. Many growth companies prefer reinvesting profit to paying dividends — check the current policy in the company's investor relations materials.

Is BAE Systems plc a good investment in 2026?

Our AI signal currently rates BAE Systems plc as slightly positive (score 60/100). Financial health comes out at 56/100, so beyond short-term news it is worth watching the valuation, growth, profitability and stability of the company. The DCF model currently puts the price about 33 % above its model fair value. FinSignal is not an investment adviser licensed under Czech Act No. 256/2004 Coll. — signals are analytical input, not a recommendation to buy or sell. You make every decision at your own risk.

§ More global stocks

Microsoft Corporation

§ How to buy BAE Systems plc

You can buy shares through regulated online brokers available in the EU. They differ mainly in fees, app quality and which markets they cover.

Degiro
Dutch broker with low fees for passive investors. No account fee, trading in EUR and USD.
XTB
Polish broker with zero commission on stocks and ETFs up to EUR 100,000 a month. Own xStation platform.
Trading 212
Zero-commission broker with fractional shares from EUR 1 and automated investing (Pies). Suits beginners and regular investing.
Interactive Brokers
US broker for advanced investors. The widest choice of markets, low costs at larger volumes, a professional platform with a steeper learning curve.

FinSignal operates none of these platforms. We charge no commission on purchases.

Important: Signals are an analytical tool, not investment advice within the meaning of Czech Act No. 256/2004 Coll. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You make all decisions at your own risk.

§ Current signalShort-term mood

/ 100

● Slightly positive

News summary

Older news

Signal 16/10, 02:02

Zpráva řadí BAE Systems mezi tři britské obranné firmy s očekávaným růstem zisku až o 18 %; dopad by podpořilo naplnění odhadů, slabší výsledky jej omezí.

Týdenní růst ceny a obranný sektor podporují mírně příznivý výhled, avšak měsíční pokles, neutrální trend a slabé momentum jej tlumí. Dlouhodobě přispívá odolná obranná poptávka.

Risks: Výhled by oslabilo zhoršení výhledu zisků, pokles obranných rozpočtů nebo obnovení cenového poklesu.

More about the signal

Risks: Výhled by oslabilo zhoršení výhledu zisků, pokles obranných rozpočtů nebo obnovení cenového poklesu.

Signal history· 2

05/1020:3056 · Slightly positive
BAE Systems čelí mixu názorů trhu: některé zprávy naznačují stabilizaci, jinak roste volatilita v odvětví obranného průmyslu.
29/0918:3161 · Slightly positive
Pravděpodobný tlak na obranný sektor s orientací na navalované poptávky a kapacity; cena ukazuje mírný růst během 7 dní a technický momentum naznačuje pozitivní trend.

The full 90-day signal history is part of Premium.

Ask the AI

§ Model fair value (DCF)

Overvalued33% above fair value

14.57

range 11.6 – 18.8

Current price

19.32 GBP

23 Oct 26

PriceFair value range (DCF)UndervaluedOvervalued

What the calculation is based on

Model

14.57 GBP

range 11.6 GBP – 18.8 GBP

: 6.0%
: 9.0%
: 0.80 GBP

Růst FCF 6 % p.a. je umírněný předpoklad pro zavedenou obrannou společnost a odpovídá kontextu růstu tržeb a EPS. Diskontní sazba 9 % zohledňuje podnikatelská a finanční rizika; terminální růst 2,5 % představuje dlouhodobý, konzervativní růst.

DCF terms explained+

DCF (discounted cash flow) estimates how much cash the company will generate in the future and converts it into today's value per share.

Free cash flow (FCF) is the money left after running the business and investing. “12 m” means the last 12 months.

The discount rate expresses risk: the riskier the company, the higher the rate and the lower the fair value.

Fair value is a model estimate — not the market price and not an investment recommendation.

With Premium you can adjust growth, the discount rate and free cash flow, and the fair value recalculates live.

Adjust assumptions14 days free →

A model estimate, not an investment recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

§ Valuation check

Is the price reasonable?

Six quick tests: price against fair value, the last year, similar companies and analyst estimates. They are calculated from the numbers, not from AI estimates. This is not a recommendation.

Data 18 of 18

Valuation score

2/ 6

5/6 tests available

1. Below DCF fair value

32.6% above the DCF midpoint.

2. Well below DCF value

Discount = below the range or at least 15% below the midpoint.

3. Price vs. the last year

29% above the 1-year low (17.92 GBP to 22.70 GBP), based on stored daily prices.

4. P/E vs. similar companies

The sector sample has only 2 companies; scoring needs at least 8.

5. P/E relative to growth

PEG 2.8; a lower value means cheaper growth.

6. Analyst price target

19.8% vs. the current price, 20 analysts.

Price vs DCF

Current price

19.32 GBP

Low 11.59 GBPHigh 18.81 GBP

Current priceDCF midpoint: 14.57 GBP

Price vs analyst target

Current price

19.32 GBP

Low 17.00 GBPHigh 26.20 GBP

Current priceAverage: 23.14 GBP

DCF gap

above range

32.6% above the DCF midpoint (14.57 GBP).

Analyst target

+19.8%

Average target 23.14 GBP vs. price 19.32 GBP.

Analyst consensus

Target range

17.00 GBP - 26.20 GBP

Coverage

20 analysts

Analyst consensus

2.3 / 5

Changes 180 d

+0 / -0

EPS next year

13.7%

Revenue next year

9.0%

Valuation multiples

27.6

20.2

467.2

1.9

16.8

2.8

52-week range29% above the low

17.92 GBP22.70 GBP

6.0%

8.0%

7.2%

18.6%

Price vs 50D-2.7%

Price vs 200D-4.8%

Metrics explained+

Price and fair value

DCF range: A model estimate of fair value from future free cash flow. A price above the range means the market pays a premium over the model; a price below it may signal a more conservative market valuation or an overly optimistic model.
Analyst target: The average and range of the analyst price targets we track. It is the market consensus, not a FinSignal recommendation, and it can lag fast price moves.
52-week range: Shows where the current price sits between the low and high of the last year. A value near the high often signals strong momentum, but on its own says nothing about whether the stock is expensive.
Price vs 50D / 200D: Compares the price with its short- and long-term moving averages. A positive value means the price is above the trend; a negative one below it.

Multiples

P/E: Price relative to current earnings. A lower P/E can mean cheaper, but it can also point to a weak outlook or risk.
Forward P/E: Price relative to next year's expected earnings. For growing companies it is often more useful than the historical P/E because it reflects estimates of future earnings.
P/B: Price relative to the book value of equity. It makes more sense for banks, insurers and capital-intensive companies than for software or brands.
P/S: Price relative to revenue. It helps with companies that have low or negative earnings; a high P/S means the market expects strong growth or future margins.
EV/EBITDA: The value of the whole company, including debt, relative to operating profit before depreciation. Useful for comparing companies with different leverage.
PEG: P/E adjusted for earnings growth. A value around 1 may suggest the valuation matches growth, but the metric is sensitive to estimates.

Growth and quality

EPS growth: Year-on-year change in earnings per share. Strong growth supports a higher valuation, but for cyclical companies it can be temporary.
Revenue growth: The growth rate of sales. It helps tell whether profits grow on real demand or mainly on cost savings.
Net margin: How much of each unit of revenue is left as net profit. A higher margin often points to stronger pricing power or more efficient operations.
ROE: Return on equity. A high ROE can signal a quality business, but check that it is not artificially boosted by heavy debt.

Most data available. Missing values mean the market data source did not provide them for this ticker. The data is indicative and may be delayed. Price as of 23/10/2026.

Management and competitive advantage

Both are estimated by the AI from the company profile, news and results. They do not count towards the 6-pillar financial health score. The AI comments are in Czech.

strong

Vedení podpořilo růst firmy získáváním nových kontraktů a rozšiřováním technologického portfolia, skóre však snižují zvýšená governance rizika, zejména v oblasti akcionářských práv.

strong

BAE Systems těží z rozsáhlých dlouhodobých vládních kontraktů, technologického know-how a vysokých překážek vstupu v obranném průmyslu.

Information

Type: Global stock
Symbol: BA.L
Exchange: LSE
Currency: GBP
Sector: Průmysl – letectví a obrana
: 27.6x
: 56.5B USD
: 73.0 %
: -0.04

§ Risk profile

Výsledky mohou ovlivnit změny vládních rozpočtů, zpoždění či překročení nákladů u velkých programů a problémy v dodavatelských řetězcích. Českému investorovi navíc kolísá korunová hodnota investice s kurzem libry.

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